Analysis of accident duration on urban arterials roads
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v28i3.2142Keywords:
Non-recurrent congestion. Traffic accidents duration. Survival analysis.Abstract
Traffic accidents are the major factor for the formation of non-recurrent traffic jams in urban roads, causing unexpected delays to the users. The understanding of the variability of traffic accident duration and its main explanatory factors can lead to a more efficient urban traffic management. Aiming to contribute to this problem, this paper analyzes the duration of traffic accidents occurring in the urban arterial roads of Fortaleza city, Brazil. Initially, a method to detect the duration of accidents from traffic data of the electronic surveillance system was proposed, given the unavailability of this information in the traffic accident database of the Fortaleza’s traffic management agency. As results, the analysis of 324 accidents showed an average duration of 72 minutes and a standard deviation of 48 minutes. The Gamma density function was identified as the best fit for the duration of accidents, indicating that this variable is affected by events that occur over time, increasing the probability of the accidents being resolved. The analysis revealed that factors related to traffic agent services, individual behavior, number of vehicles and accident location (mid-block or intersection) may affect the accident duration. However, no evidence was found that the duration of accidents is influenced by its severity (accidents with or without victims) or by its nature.
Downloads
References
Bharadwaj, S.; S. Ballare; Rohit e M. K. Chandel (2017) Impact of congestion on greenhouse gas emissions for road transport in Mumbai metropolitan region. Transportation Research Procedia, v. 25, p. 3538-3551. Doi:10.1016/j.trpro.2017.05.282
Chung, Y. (2009) Development of an accident duration prediction model on the Korean Freeway Systems. Accident Analysis and Prevention, v. 42, n. 1, p. 282–289. Doi:10.1016/j.aap.2009.08.005
Chung, Y. e B. J. Yoon (2012) Analytical method to estimate accident duration using archived speed profile and its statistical analysis. KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, v. 16, n. 6, p. 1064–1070. Doi: 10.1007/s12205-012-1632-3
Haule, H. J.; T. Sando; R. Lentz; C. H. Chuan e P. Alluri (2018) Evaluating the impact and clearance duration of freeway incidents. International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology, v. 8, n. 1, p. 13–24. Doi:10.1016/j.ijtst.2018.06.005
Hojati, A. T.; L. Ferreira; S. Washington e P. Charles (2013) Hazard based models for freeway traffic incident duration. Accident Analysis and Prevention, v. 52, p. 171–181. Doi:10.1016/j.aap.2012.12.037
Hojati, A. T.; L. Ferreira; S. Washington; P. Charles e A. Shobeirinejad (2014) Modelling total duration of traffic incidents including incident detection and recovery time. Accident Analysis and Prevention, v. 71, p. 296–305. Doi:10.1016/j.aap.2014.06.006
Junhua, W.; C. Haozhe; e Q. Shi (2013) Estimating freeway incident duration using accelerated failure time modeling. Safety Science, v. 54, p. 43–50. Doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2012.11.009
Kaabi, A. Al; D. Dissanayake e R. Bird (2012) Response Time of Highway Traffic Accidents in Abu Dhabi: Investigation with Hazard-based Duration Models. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board. v. 2278, n. 1, p. 95-103. Doi:10.3141/2278-11
Li, R.; M. Guo; H. Lu e M. Guo (2017) Analysis of the Different Duration Stages of Accidents with Hazard-Based Model. International Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems Research, v. 15, n. 1, p. 7–16. Doi: 10.1007/s13177-015-0115-6
Li, R.; F. C. Pereira e M. E. Ben-Akiva (2018) Overview of traffic incident duration analysis and prediction. European Transport Research Review. v. 10, n. 22. Available in: https://etrr.springeropen.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12544-018-0300-1 (Consulted on 08/02/2020).
Nam, D. e F. Mannering (2000) An exploratory hazard-based analysis of highway incident duration. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, v. 34, n. 2, p. 85–102. Doi:10.1016/S0965-8564(98)00065-2
Requia, W. J.; C. D. Higgins; M. D. Adams; M. Mohamed e P. Koutrakis (2018) The health impacts of weekday traffic: A health risk assessment of PM2.5 emissions during congested periods. Environment International, v. 111, p. 164-176. Doi:10.1016/j.envint.2017.11.025
Schrank, D.; T. Lomax; R. Fellow e J. Bak (2015) 2015 URBAN MOBILITY SCORECARD. Texas, Texas A&M Transportation Institute e INRIX, Available in: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/2efb/66f800cd8f3218c348fd83ce8443f8138c0d.pdf?_ga=2.116744134.1536304838.1580230472-1854347183.1580230472 (Consulted on 08/02/2020).
Shi, Y. (2014) Survival Analysis of Urban Traffic Incident Duration : a Case Study at Shanghai Expressways. Journal of Computers, v. 26, n. 1, p. 29-39. Available in: http://www.csroc.org.tw/journal/JOC26-1/JOC26-1-3.pdf (Consulted on 08/02/2020)
Xie, K.; K. Ozbay e H. Yang (2015) Spatial analysis of highway incident durations in the context of Hurricane Sandy. Accident Analysis and Prevention, v. 74, p. 77–86. Doi:10.1016/j.aap.2014.10.015
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who submit papers for publication by TRANSPORTES agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant TRANSPORTES the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors may enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of this journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in TRANSPORTES.
- Authors are allowed and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) after publication of the article. Authors are encouraged to use links to TRANSPORTES (e.g., DOIs or direct links) when posting the article online, as TRANSPORTES is freely available to all readers.
- Authors have secured all necessary clearances and written permissions to published the work and grant copyright under the terms of this agreement. Furthermore, the authors assume full responsibility for any copyright infringements related to the article, exonerating ANPET and TRANSPORTES of any responsibility regarding copyright infringement.
- Authors assume full responsibility for the contents of the article submitted for review, including all necessary clearances for divulgation of data and results, exonerating ANPET and TRANSPORTES of any responsibility regarding to this aspect.