Modelos de geração de viagem para pólos geradores de viagens de cargas

Authors

  • Cristiane Duarte Ribeiro de Souza COPPE/UFRJ
  • Suellem Deodoro Silva COPPE/UFRJ
  • Márcio Almeida D´agosto COPPE/UFRJ

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v18i1.396

Abstract

Resumo: A implantação de um empreendimento que tenha potencial de produzir ou atrair uma quantidade significativa de viagens de cargas (PGV Carga) pode contribuir para o agravamento dos problemas de tráfego já existentes ou ocasionar problemas não previstos em uma região. Conhecer o volume de viagens geradas e seus modelos de previsão pode ajudar a minimizar tais problemas. Este trabalho tem por objetivo apresentar o perfil dos modelos de geração de viagens de carga que possam ser utilizados para subsidiar os estudos sobre PGV Carga. Foi realizada uma revisão bibliográfica nacional e internacional (25 estudos). Verificou-se que predomina o uso de taxas e de regressões lineares simples e múltiplas, nas quais se obtêm coeficientes de determinação (R²) iguais ou maiores que 0,7.

Abstract: The deployment of an enterprise that has the potential to produce or attract a significant amount of freight travel, may contribute to the worsening traffic problems that already exist or cause unanticipated problems in a region. Knowing the volume of trips generated and their forecasting models can help minimize such problems. This paper aims to present a profile of freight trip generation models that can be used to subsidize research on such enterprises. We performed a national and international literature review (25 studies). It was found the predominant use of taxes and simple and multiple linear regressions, where we obtain coefficients of determination (R²) equal to or greater than 0.7.

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Published

2010-07-02

How to Cite

Souza, C. D. R. de, Silva, S. D., & D´agosto, M. A. (2010). Modelos de geração de viagem para pólos geradores de viagens de cargas. TRANSPORTES, 18(1). https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v18i1.396

Issue

Vol. 18 No. 1 (2010)

Section

Artigos

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