Análise e modelagem da evolução temporal da posse de autos na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo

Authors

  • Letícia Marconcim Pfeiffer
  • Orlando Strambi

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v13i1.88

Abstract

O objetivo deste trabalho é estudar o comportamento da posse de autos familiar na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo, buscando analisar a evolução ocorrida entre 1987 e 1997. Foi utilizado um modelo logit multinomial que considera variáveis sociodemográficas e econômicas que influenciam o comportamento das famílias: tamanho da família, número de trabalhadores, número de estudantes, presença ou não de crianças, sexo do chefe, idade do chefe e a renda familiar. Os resultados apontaram mudanças de comportamento ao longo do tempo com relação às variáveis envolvidas, verificando-se uma redução da importância dessas características familiares para explicar a posse de autos, destacando-se o efeito decrescente da renda ao longo do tempo. Esses resultados sugerem que vem crescendo a importância de outros fatores na decisão de posse de auto das famílias, provavelmente relacionados com o mercado de veículos e com políticas urbanas e de transportes.

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Published

2005-07-02

How to Cite

Marconcim Pfeiffer, L., & Strambi, O. (2005). Análise e modelagem da evolução temporal da posse de autos na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo. Transportes, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v13i1.88

Issue

Vol. 13 No. 1 (2005)

Section

Articles

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